Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3003.216374 3244.931166 3489.825373 3756.194110 4037.423818 4325.191426 4641.575676
2024-12-15 2645.398920 3008.657088 3390.345979 3820.050903 4289.079064 4784.250159 5345.279433
2024-12-22 2360.025377 2791.229749 3256.939804 3794.751237 4396.098923 5045.226222 5796.290469
2024-12-29 2207.600190 2696.060242 3235.516518 3871.291247 4595.787392 5391.444804 6326.971871
2025-01-05 2052.923483 2581.780002 3177.798158 3893.133995 4722.068377 5646.228046 6748.049611
2025-01-12 1911.644373 2470.786397 3112.863727 3896.412202 4818.252455 5859.926235 7117.245662
2025-01-19 1726.597503 2295.451280 2961.338564 3787.735383 4774.832147 5905.225307 7286.234950
2025-01-26 1681.909161 2285.669463 3002.984310 3904.741532 4994.291647 6254.578364 7808.229228
2025-02-02 1621.714291 2252.098401 3012.023057 3979.372422 5161.178209 6541.347056 8257.437592
2025-02-09 1530.738468 2174.464349 2962.310121 3978.217490 5233.465269 6713.740102 8570.292511
2025-02-16 1435.257935 2085.865724 2894.290797 3950.147220 5269.347833 6839.893268 8826.267142
2025-02-23 1377.962274 2043.589254 2881.821768 3988.933404 5385.607575 7062.083507 9197.769581
2025-03-02 1303.667176 1976.635192 2836.512824 3985.975348 5451.124761 7225.172382 9502.414942
2025-03-09 1263.450872 1953.432176 2846.367017 4052.607267 5603.914163 7496.392492 9941.512426
2025-03-16 1188.760664 1879.470131 2786.414628 4026.166986 5636.598120 7617.644864 10195.715867
2025-03-23 1160.979132 1868.738412 2808.896238 4106.149358 5804.580243 7907.541083 10659.669347
2025-03-30 1113.575572 1828.046376 2789.201513 4128.971238 5897.998560 8103.731603 11007.705578
2025-04-06 1062.198871 1779.218478 2756.322525 4132.396272 5964.907297 8265.818980 11313.226644
2025-04-13 973.204668 1671.777319 2639.128033 4018.834695 5875.441195 8226.509779 11362.917891
2025-04-20 969.489433 1689.528222 2695.718152 4141.098521 6097.466334 8586.625710 11920.584040
2025-04-27 951.431672 1684.848383 2720.132419 4219.061654 6260.957497 8872.432823 12385.539706
2025-05-04 909.031211 1641.468311 2688.089092 4217.855278 6317.807157 9020.165245 12674.446598
2025-05-11 860.341411 1586.259434 2637.130598 4188.533499 6335.386165 9115.953971 12896.329988